Before Vice President Debate, Palin Already Beating Biden
Initially, 67% of voters didn’t have enough information on Sarah Palin to have any opinion whatsoever. But after the rush of media coverage, 53% now have a favorable opinion of her, versus only 26% with an unfavorable opinion, said Rasmussen.
The most important quote:
“Palin earns positive reviews from 78% of Republicans, 26% of Democrats and 63% of unaffiliated voters. Obviously, these numbers will be subject to change as voters learn more about her in the coming weeks. Among all voters, 29% have a Very Favorable opinion of Palin while 9% hold a Very Unfavorable view.”
By way of comparison, on the day he was selected as Barack Obama’s running mate, Delaware Senator Joseph Biden was viewed favorably by 43% of voters.
What I find significant about this is the two numbers - 53% and 63%. We have never seen Barack Obama or Joe Biden - or for that matter John McCain - poll over 50% at any time. Paliln’s pull with unaffiliated voters seems incredibly promising.
The full article followed by additional commentary appears below:
Saturday, August 30, 2008<!–
–>Sarah Palin has made a good first impression. Before being named as John McCain’s running mate, 67% of voters didn’t know enough about the Alaska governor to have an opinion. After her debut in Dayton and a rush of media coverage, a new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey finds that 53% now have a favorable opinion of Palin while just 26% offer a less flattering assessment.
Palin earns positive reviews from 78% of Republicans, 26% of Democrats and 63% of unaffiliated voters. Obviously, these numbers will be subject to change as voters learn more about her in the coming weeks. Among all voters, 29% have a Very Favorable opinion of Palin while 9% hold a Very Unfavorable view.
By way of comparison, on the day he was selected as Barack Obama’s running mate, Delaware Senator Joseph Biden was viewed favorably by 43% of voters.
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Palin’s selection may have already provided a short-term boost for McCain by muting any further convention bounce following Obama’s successful acceptance speech on Thursday night. The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll on Saturday shows little change from the numbers released on Friday morning.
In the new survey, 35% of voters say the selection of Palin makes them more likely to vote for McCain while 33% say they are less likely to do so. Most Republicans say they are more likely to vote for Palin and most Democrats say the opposite. As for voters not affiliated with either major party, 37% are more likely to vote for McCain and 28% less likely to do so. Those numbers are a bit more positive than initial reaction to Biden.
Palin is only the second woman to ever be on a major national political ticket after Democrat Geraldine Ferraro in 1984. Her choice is clearly aimed at peeling away disaffected female voters in the Democratic Party still smarting from Hillary Clinton’s failure to grab the nomination – and Barack Obama’s decision not to even consider her for the number two slot. This was clear when Palin praised Ferraro and Clinton — to the Republican crowd — following McCain’s introduction of her yesterday. Referring to the number of votes Clinton received in the Democratic primaries, she said, “It was rightly noted in Denver this week that Hillary left 18 million cracks in the highest, hardest glass ceiling in America, but it turns out the women of America aren’t finished yet and we can shatter that glass ceiling once and for all.”
After McCain’s announcement, Clinton issued a statement saying, “We should all be proud of Governor Sarah Palin’s historic nomination, and I congratulate her and Senator McCain. While their policies would take America in the wrong direction, Governor Palin will add an important new voice to the debate.” Palin is now viewed favorably by 48% of women. That figure includes 80% of Republican women, 23% of Democratic women, and 61% of women not affiliated with either major party.
Forty percent (40%) of voters say Palin was the right choice for McCain. That’s comparable to the 39% who initially said Biden was the right choice for Obama. Following the Democratic National Convention, the number who believed Biden was the right choice grew to 47%. It will be especially significant to see where Palin’s numbers are following the GOP gathering next week.
When Biden was selected, just over half (52%) of Democrats believed he was the right choice. Sixty-three percent (63%) of Republicans say McCain picked the right running mate in Palin, and 40% of unaffiliated voters agree. A week ago, 31% of unaffiliateds said the same about Obama’s selection.
Republicans were evenly divided as to whether Biden was the right choice for Obama, but Democrats strongly reject Palin as McCain’s best option. Only 22% of those in Obama’s party say Palin was the right choice, while 47% disagree.
Just 29% of voters say Palin is ready to be president if necessary, ten points below the 39% who said the same a week ago about Biden, the chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee and a 36-year member of the Senate. Fifty-one percent (51%) of Republican voters say she is ready along with 32% of unaffiliated voters and 11% of Democrats.
Democrats already have begun to attack Palin for a lack of Washington experience even though the message of their party’s presidential ticket is change. One of the reasons McCain clearly chose Palin is because she is the ultimate Washington outsider, even coming from the state on the continental United States that is furthest from the Nation’s Capital. Joe Biden has been in the Senate since Palin was nine years old.
By the end of the Democratic National Convention, the number who said Biden was ready to be President grew by ten points to 49%. Again, it will be especially significant to see where Palin’s numbers are following the Republican National Convention.
In Alaska, the 44-year old Palin’s job performance as governor gets good or excellent marks from 64% of voters statewide.
My view is this: the Vice Presidency may be more important this year than it has ever been before. John McCain didn’t go for a single in selecting Palin; he swung for the bleachers. Babe Ruth had the home run record for decades; but he struck out more than anyone as well.
If Sarah Palin comes out of the Convention with a great speech and a great presentation, she will build steadily on her already great first “take.” If she performs well on the campaign trail - and especially if she outperforms Joe Biden - John McCain will be the next President of the United States. If she fails to live up to her “hype,” McCain will likely lose the election. Palin is that critical to this ticket.
My view of this lady is that “she’s got it goin’ ON!” I think she will perform magnificently. Interestingly, I wonder if the angst over whether Biden should come out aggresively against Palin, or hold back because she’s a woman (”and you shouldn’t beat up on a woman and mother”), might discombobulate him. He will continually have to walk a fine line, many analysts say, and it may neuter him. Sarah Palin, on the other hand, will be free to be Sarah Palin.
I’m saying my prayers for Sarah. I think God will answer them in this remarkable woman. She has already won my confidence.
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First, thanks for the post.
It’s refreshing to see how Gov. Palin’s being received by an electorate supersaturated by the OMSM’s endless propaganda about the empty-suited, morally anchorless, fascistic, anti-life, whining Marxist who crawled out of the sewer called the Chicago Political Machine.
It’s also very amusing to see how besides themselves that Obama, or whatever his real name might be, and his minions and devotees are, regarding their fear of and confusion about Gov. Palin.
They know — and they might as well go ahead and admit it, which, really, they are, given their childish and base tantrums they’re throwing — that they cannot win.
Some of them may’ve been leaning toward that conclusion in the past few weeks.
But now?
And, yes, we must keep McCain and Palin and their families in our prayers.
Given the hideousness and callousness of what the Obamaiots have and are saying, it is frightening to think what they might actually do to win.
They’d best think twice or three times or so, though, before they do something with actions that they cannot undo with words or other actions.
I’m very exciited, and couldn’t be happier that McCain chose her!
Here’s why this move backfires for McCain:
The Clinton factor is a non-factor. Of the 10-30% (polls vary) of Clinton supporters who still remain undecided, exceedingly few will see eye-to-eye with Palin on the issues. She will simply not be the deciding factor in winning over any of those so-called undecided voters.
Then you have the Change factor. The pick was a deliberate attempt to push an outside-the-beltway message for the GOP as agents of change. This is a debate John McCain loses. Obama can make the rather simple point, setting aside his years as a Senator in DC and Illinois, as a -community organizer- in Chicago he was responsible for getting more people on their feet and helping families find their way than Sarah Palin could have (and notably did not) in Alaska.
At the end of the day, this move energizes the GOP base and that’s it. Nothing more. And probably not for more than a couple weeks. It’s pretty remarkable that Republicans are so unsatisfied with their candidate for President that they’re laying so much excitement on such an astoundingly inexperienced VP candidate! It’s comical to watch people who have gone on and on and on alleging how little experience Obama has now jumping on the bandwagon of a 20-month Alaskan governor.
And it’s even more comical to see Obama supporters question her experience when Obama has so little.
You are going to be quite sad when all this plays out. The Democrats have gone on an all-out assault of women during this election cycle.
They have just announced that Bristol, Palin’s daughter, is pregnant: http://americassentinel.com/2008/09/01/palins-daughter-bristol-pregnant/
“Palin won by fighting corruption - Obama won by embracing corruption.”
mikey, mikey, mikey,
the community “organizer” thing you obots like to brag about - the former name for his actions was “agitator” - stirring people up for hate and to vote for him, but not actually doing anything to help anyone. once he got their votes and got his little part-time state senator gig, he did NOTHING for them.
re clinton voters not seeing eye-to-eye with palin on the issues - you forget that we don’t see eye-to-eye with obama’s socialism either.
i’ll take a solid citizen over a lying jerk anyday. voting mccain/palin, contributing to mccain/palin, etc. same for millions of us.
get over it.
I sincerely hope that the debate discussed foreign policy and that Palin is up to date on Biden being on the wrong side of history. The most important being his position on Reagan/USSR. And the energy issue where the dem/libs biggest potential renewable source is the project being studied by lib think tanks in the hopes of coming up with a prototype prior to the election, a device designed to capture Bidens gas. With Liberal Moderaters for all the debates “onandonandonandonhowmanyrabbittrailsareposibleinthetimeallowed” Biden ought to be quite a show, similar to the questions that he never finally asked for a response on the judicial nomiations.
Sarah certainly energized me. I donated to the McCain campaign, when I wasn’t planning to. We’re happy with her, all right.
It’s funny: Obama preached ‘change’ and then picked the liberal equivalent of Cheney. Obama framed McCain as more Bush, and McCain picked this inspiration woman who don’t look anything like Bush!!!
Does anybody but the liberal ideologue believe that Joe Biden represents change? Sarah Palin clearly does.
Libs accuse McCain of playing politics with the Palin pick, as though it’s a bad thing. Obama played politics when he picked Biden: he wanted to shore up his weak experience, and he wanted working class Catholics. Like everything else, it’s only wrong when Republicans do something.
A healthy chunk of Hillary’s voters voted for Bush in 2004. There is no question in my mind that Sarah Palin can woo them back to Republicans better than just about anyone McCain could have chosen.
I think this will be the most important VP debate in US history - and I think Sarah will do quite fine.